Please Log in to Vote.

1 out of 3 members found this useful.

We Need a Doohickey

In the United States, Orange and Green can refer to both Democrats and Republicans (as the recent opposition to climate change legislation is making clear, where both Republicans and Moderate Democrats alike are joining forces to oppose cap and trade for various reasons).  For this reason, it is quite possible that Moderate Democrats may join Republicans to filibuster this bill.

Whereas Republicans oppose cap and trade because they historically oppose regulation and represent industries, Moderate Democrats are opposed to the bill because they are from states in which a significant percentage of the working class are employed by coal-burning plants, who fear job loss with stricter regulations and a ceiling on pollutions.

Certainly the ongoing recession exacerbates the issue, but I also suspect that it is the nature of the mental-rational structure (orange and green) to be over-reliant on the wonders of technology to solve climate change automatically.  Many, for instance, are counting on some "doohickey" to solve the crisis "for them" to make carbon energy obsolete by replacing it with cleaner and renewable energy, rather than facing deeper issues such as reducing consumption and demands of carbon energy (via CO2 reduction and energy efficiency through cap and trade or other policy).  Instead, the mentality is, take some pill or invent some new machine to magically attend to these problems to relieve me of these personal responsibilities.  In the meantime, I'll continue my merry way of consumption, and some day someone else will invent a machine to automatically "fix" climate change for me by creating technology to replace fossil fuel. 

While certainly R&D in newer technology and carbon-free, renewable energy will be necessary ultimately to replace fossil fuel, it is not yet widely available and there's still the ongoing problem of climate change and rising CO2.  But rather than focusing on energy efficiency and reduction of CO2, we are instead hoping for some miraculous breakthrough in technology as we continue to add dangerous amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere.

Much of this has to do with the mental-rational structure's associations with the deficient phase of the magic structure (deficient red), which is externally-related and is oriented upon gaining power and control over nature by way of magic and possession.  Technology is essentially a reactivation of deficient magic in the mental structure.  Magic, being only very dimly self-aware, is blind and is possessed.  For this reason, the magic structure is also irresponsible. 

Over-reliance on the wonders of technology, in short, is also irresponsible and blind as it is a reactivation of deficient magic and results in obsession with space, then possession by space. 

Magical wishing:

The Chinese will have an important role but they are not rich, therefore we need cheap solar panels

Orange:

 

We need a doohickey to solve global warming.  This is why it's important for America to lead the way in innovation and R&D, since the only way that we will ever keep pace with our growing demand for power and energy is to replace the dwindling supply of fossil fuel with a newer supply of renewable energy and technology once we hit peak oil and it all runs out and need a new "fix."  So we will need a new doohickey of some kind to meet our ongoing and growing demands for power and energy. Some say, by the year 2050.  So we've got a deadline to meet, folks, to keep up with the demand to invent clean, affordable and renewable supplies of energy before we hit peak oil and run out by the year 2050. 

Lomborg has envisioned such a doohickey which will be perfected by the year 2050 to replace fossil fuel, but only if we get to it pronto and pour all investments into research and development in order to meet the deadline of 2050.  We can still do our part as Americans to fight global warming by introducing a modest carbon tax to reduce CO2.  But if we're really serious about solving global warming, we will need to embrace Lomborg's dream of focusing on developing a new doohickey instead of wasting trillions of dollars on cap and trade to reduce carbon emissions, when a new doohickey would replace these carbon emissions and make them obsolete anyway.  Ahh, the wonders of technology.  It's almost like....MAGIC!! 

So what we need is a rugged individualist to embrace Lomborg's dream of helping America to be the first country to create affordable energy and technology, such as a doohickey, to solve global warming.  We need someone really rich, and really smart, like Willy Wonka, to invent it.  A revolutionary who shares Lomborg's vision, but had been under constant attack by the current administration's efforts to impose a pollution ceiling on his cement and coal-burning factories. 

We find this bill most regrettable, as 1% of his company had been devoted to research and development to create the first doohickey for America to lead the way in this technology and corner the market to beat out other countries in this race.  Inspired by Lomborg's vision and Lomborg's Copenhagen Consensus's recommendation of a .05% investment for R&D, Wonka met and exceeded the modest .05% goal and doubled it, but was unable to go forward with this ambitious plan unless his cement and coal-burning factories could be credited of their carbon emissions to continue research. 

Threatened by government to interfere with this important R&D to fight global warming by imposing a ceiling on his pollution, Wonka moved his companies overseas to Loompa-Land where he continues his ongoing and important R&D to create the first doohickey, and employs the Oompa-Loompas.  Wonka's plans are to teach the Oompa-Loompas to make the doohickeys too, once his company has developed it, but will need the carbon emissions to continue unabated to mass-produce the doohickey parts in Loompa-Land, once his company has developed it. 

We applaud Wonka for his continuing efforts to solve global warming and for fighting the good fight, and also in his tireless crusade in fighting to keep pollution free against cap and trade legislation in Loompa Land for the sake of the millions of poor and hungry Oompa-Loompas that he currently employs in Loompa-Land (a country which has opted out of this international agreement; but is under constant pressure by richer nations to join).  Wonka has teamed up with Lomborg and the Copenhagen Consensus to fight for the working poor Oompa-Loompas, but regrets that government intervention had forced him to leave millions of working-class Americans jobless in a time of great economic collapse when he took his cement and coal companies to Loompa-Land in order to continue his important R&D on doohickeys to combat global warming and replace fossil fuel.

Wonka believes that Loompa-Land has an important minor role to play as a developing country in mass-producing the doohickey parts to combat global warming, but that Americans should continue the good fight of fighting cap and trade to ensure continued investment in R&D in America and elsewhere in the world to meet the 2050 deadline.  Remember: only in America and in France (kind of, but not really) will you find the revolutionaries.  Revolutionaries are the ones who are needed to continue R&D in America and come up with original ideas: not Oompa-Loompas, who do have a minor role to play but are generally too poor and are not very innovative or smart to do important R&D on their own as individuals.  They can, however, be exploited for use as a cheap labor force to copy Western innovation and ideas by mass-producing the doohickeys in factories, to make them very cheap for everyone by the year 2050 to meet Lomborg's deadline.  The Oompa-Loompas, in turn, are forever indebted to Willy Wonka for bringing industry and a piece of the American Dream into their developing nation, and for saving them from the evil Balalaikas to the North. 

Green:

We like new gadgets and we like magic, too.  But we don't want to wait until 2050 for a doohickey, we want it NOW!  And we want to spread this doohickey to all people regardless of race, gender, colour, nationality, creed, religion, and so on.  If we develop new technology, such as a doohickey, to replace fossil fuel consumption, we can continue our rampant consumerism while saving Planet Earth in the process while not reducing our demands for energy.  We'll create millions of Green jobs, but we should also save the Oompa Loompas.

 

 

 

Save the Oompa Loompas

To save injured/maimed oompa loompas

Beneficiary:Positions:Category:Description:
Donations to the cause benefit: Howard Hughes Medical Institute A 501(c)(3) nonprofit
  1. Oompa Loompas must be treated as equals in society.
  2. Mr. Wonka must be eliminated.
  3. Jesse is awesome.
With an increasing number of debilitated oompa loompas, our organization has seen the increasing need in helping the rights of oompa loompas under the tyranny of Mr. Willy Wonka. His abuse and intolerance of defective oompa loompas has already led to violence and chaos within the Wonka Factory.  We are fighting for rights of Oompa-Loompas to take collective ownership of their companies to get rid of the industrialist executives, and the capitalists.
GibraltarNext Size:Members Needed:
Rally
19,069 more
How big is this cause?Peeps-13

Integral:

 [Green got side-tracked with numerous complex social issues; so we move to Integral...please feel free to comment a scenario for an Integral solution for solving climate change]

Please Log in to Vote.

1 out of 2 members found this useful.

Hint: click "add comment" and the post will magically appear.

In the United States, Orange and Green can refer to both Democrats and Republicans (as the recent opposition to climate change legislation is making clear, where both Republicans and Moderate Democrats alike are joining forces to oppose cap and trade for various reasons).  For this reason, it is quite possible that Moderate Democrats may join Republicans to filibuster this bill.

Whereas Republicans oppose cap and trade because they historically oppose regulation and represent industries, Moderate Democrats are opposed to the bill because they are from states in which a significant percentage of the working class are employed by coal-burning plants, who fear job loss with stricter regulations and a ceiling on pollutions.

Certainly the ongoing recession exacerbates the issue, but I also suspect that it is the nature of the mental-rational structure (orange and green) to be over-reliant on the wonders of technology to solve climate change automatically.  Many, for instance, are counting on some "doohickey" to solve the crisis "for them" to make carbon energy obsolete by replacing it with cleaner and renewable energy, rather than facing deeper issues such as reducing consumption and demands of carbon energy (via CO2 reduction and energy efficiency through cap and trade or other policy).  Instead, the mentality is, take some pill or invent some new machine to magically attend to these problems to relieve me of these personal responsibilities.  In the meantime, I'll continue my merry way of consumption, and some day someone else will invent a machine to automatically "fix" climate change for me by creating technology to replace fossil fuel. 

While certainly R&D in newer technology and carbon-free, renewable energy will be necessary ultimately to replace fossil fuel, it is not yet widely available and there's still the ongoing problem of climate change and rising CO2.  But rather than focusing on energy efficiency and reduction of CO2, we are instead hoping for some miraculous breakthrough in technology as we continue to add dangerous amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere.

Much of this has to do with the mental-rational structure's associations with the deficient phase of the magic structure (deficient red), which is externally-related and is oriented upon gaining power and control over nature by way of magic and possession.  Technology is essentially a reactivation of deficient magic in the mental structure.  Magic, being only very dimly self-aware, is blind and is possessed.  For this reason, the magic structure is also irresponsible. 

Over-reliance on the wonders of technology, in short, is also irresponsible and blind as it is a reactivation of deficient magic and results in obsession with space, then possession by space. 

Example:

The Chinese will have an important role but they are not rich, therefore we need cheap solar panels

Orange:

 

We need a doohickey to solve global warming.  This is why it's important for America to lead the way in innovation and R&D, since the only way that we will ever keep pace with our growing demand for power and energy is to replace the dwindling supply of fossil fuel with a newer supply of renewable energy and technology once we hit peak oil and it all runs out and need a new "fix."  So we will need a new doohickey of some kind to meet our ongoing and growing demands for power and energy. Some say, by the year 2050.  So we've got a deadline to meet, folks, to keep up with the demand to invent clean, affordable and renewable supplies of energy before we hit peak oil and run out by the year 2050. 

Lomborg has envisioned such a doohickey which will be perfected by the year 2050 to replace fossil fuel, but only if we get to it pronto and pour all investments into research and development in order to meet the deadline of 2050.  We can still do our part as Americans to fight global warming by introducing a modest carbon tax to reduce CO2.  But if we're really serious about solving global warming, we will need to embrace Lomborg's dream of focusing on developing a new doohickey instead of wasting trillions of dollars on cap and trade to reduce carbon emissions, when a new doohickey would replace these carbon emissions and make them obsolete anyway.  Ahh, the wonders of technology.  It's almost like....MAGIC!! 

So what we need is a rugged individualist to embrace Lomborg's dream of helping America to be the first country to create affordable energy and technology, such as a doohickey, to solve global warming.  We need someone really rich, and really smart, like Willy Wonka, to invent it.  A revolutionary who shares Lomborg's vision, but had been under constant attack by the current administration's efforts to impose a pollution ceiling on his cement and coal-burning factories. 

We find this bill most regrettable, as 1% of his company had been devoted to research and development to create the first doohickey for America to lead the way in this technology and corner the market to beat out other countries in this race.  Inspired by Lomborg's vision and Lomborg's Copenhagen Consensus's recommendation of a .05% investment for R&D, Wonka met and exceeded the modest .05% goal and doubled it, but was unable to go forward with this ambitious plan unless his cement and coal-burning factories could be credited of their carbon emissions to continue research. 

Threatened by government to interfere with this important R&D to fight global warming by imposing a ceiling on his pollution, Wonka moved his companies overseas to Loompa-Land where he continues his ongoing and important R&D to create the first doohickey, and employs the Oompa-Loompas.  Wonka's plans are to teach the Oompa-Loompas to make the doohickeys too, once his company has developed it, but will need the carbon emissions to continue unabated to mass-produce the doohickey parts in Loompa-Land, once his company has developed it. 

We applaud Wonka for his continuing efforts to solve global warming and for fighting the good fight, and also in his tireless crusade in fighting to keep pollution free against cap and trade legislation in Loompa Land for the sake of the millions of poor and hungry Oompa-Loompas that he currently employs in Loompa-Land (a country which has opted out of this international agreement; but is under constant pressure by richer nations to join).  Wonka has teamed up with Lomborg and the Copenhagen Consensus to fight for the working poor Oompa-Loompas, but regrets that government intervention had forced him to leave millions of working-class Americans jobless in a time of great economic collapse when he took his cement and coal companies to Loompa-Land in order to continue his important R&D on doohickeys to combat global warming and replace fossil fuel.

Wonka believes that Loompa-Land has an important minor role to play as a developing country in mass-producing the doohickey parts to combat global warming, but that Americans should continue the good fight of fighting cap and trade to ensure continued investment in R&D in America and elsewhere in the world to meet the 2050 deadline.  Remember: only in America and in France (kind of, but not really) will you find the revolutionaries.  Revolutionaries are the ones who are needed to continue R&D in America and come up with original ideas: not Oompa-Loompas, who do have a minor role to play but are generally too poor and are not very innovative or smart to do important R&D on their own as individuals.  They can, however, be exploited for use as a cheap labor force to copy Western innovation and ideas by mass-producing the doohickeys in factories, to make them very cheap for everyone by the year 2050 to meet Lomborg's deadline.  The Oompa-Loompas, in turn, are forever indebted to Willy Wonka for bringing industry and a piece of the American Dream into their developing nation, and for saving them from the evil Balalaikas to the North. 

Green:

We like new gadgets and we like magic, too.  But we don't want to wait until 2050 for a doohickey, we want it NOW!  And we want to spread this doohickey to all people regardless of race, gender, colour, nationality, creed, religion, and so on.  If we develop new technology, such as a doohickey, to replace fossil fuel consumption, we can continue our rampant consumerism while saving Planet Earth in the process while not reducing our demands for energy.  We'll create millions of Green jobs, but we should also save the Oompa Loompas.

 

 

 

Save the Oompa Loompas

To save injured/maimed oompa loompas

Beneficiary:Positions:Category:Description:
Donations to the cause benefit: Howard Hughes Medical Institute A 501(c)(3) nonprofit
  1. Oompa Loompas must be treated as equals in society.
  2. Mr. Wonka must be eliminated.
  3. Jesse is awesome.
With an increasing number of debilitated oompa loompas, our organization has seen the increasing need in helping the rights of oompa loompas under the tyranny of Mr. Willy Wonka. His abuse and intolerance of defective oompa loompas has already led to violence and chaos within the Wonka Factory.  We are fighting for rights of Oompa-Loompas to take collective ownership of their companies to get rid of the industrialist executives, and the capitalists.
GibraltarNext Size:Members Needed:
Rally
19,069 more
How big is this cause?Peeps-13

Integral:

 [Green got side-tracked with numerous complex social issues; so we move to Integral...please feel free to comment a scenario for an Integral solution for solving climate change]

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

[Comment Deleted]

This comment has been deleted by the author.

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

Efficiency to reduce energy demand is 1st, Replacing dirty power is 2nd.

warn Al Gore immediately
because he begins to agree
that R&D is key.
How do you react:
1. deny it (your source is not reliable)
2. admit it and say, it won't be so hard
3. admit it and say, it's too late

in case you don't believe it, look at the facts: www.mnn.com/technology/research-innovations/blogs/al-gore-weathers-confrontation-at-economics-summit 

Bernhard:

Sorry that I didn't notice your comment above, but what makes you suppose that Al Gore or anyone who favors cap and trade disagrees with R&D?  It's not an either/or proposition.    

Had I not known better, I would think that you were trying to say that "Al Gore is just now beginning to see the light that Lomborg was right all along in that R&D is key, and that reducing carbon emissions is wrong."

Gore believes that R&D is "a" key, not "the" key.  

The key concern is still mitigation and a ceiling on carbon emissions to prevent a tipping point and catastrophic climate change.  This can be accomplished through a combination of cap and trade and technology, something that Al Gore has always maintained but that Lomborg denies as being necessary.

No one here is in denial except those who deny the importance of international agreements and CO2 emissions standards...

Emissions standards such a cap and trade encourages energy efficiency and results in reduced energy demand at little to no cost to consumers or to taxpayers (this is how the U.S. phased out lead in gas: not by a lead tax, but by a cap and trade policy).  And all without wrecking the economy, driving gas prices up, and without a need for R&D.  Without such a policy in place, industries have no incentive to become more efficient to reduce energy demand on their own.  They are currently being rewarded for being as inefficient and as wasteful as possible to cut corners for a profit.

Industrial CO2 is the biggest pollutant.  Hence the cap and trade to encourage industrial efficiency and to reduce overall energy demands.  Energy efficiency can be done right here, right now, across industries and in agriculture but not until they're forced to cap and reduce their carbon emissions via climate legislation.  Efficiency is already happening on the consumer end in homes, buildings, fuel efficient cars, appliances, energy efficient light-bulbs, and taking mass transportation.  Efficiency alone can cut carbon emissions by 40% without any new R&D or technology.

BTW, the technology for a doohickey, a solar panel or supergrid, is already here; it just requires the political will and fake money to scale it on the level that is required to make an impact.  Even then, energy efficiency is first, replacing the dirty power is second:

Source: http://www.grist.org/article/2009-03-30-myth-cleaner-sources/

Maxi, maybe you live off the grid with your own solar panels and whatnot, and if so more power to you. But what we're talking about here is switching over such a massive amount of energy consumption to a different power source that it will require massive centralized power plants. Large-scale concentrating solar power plants require scraping vast swaths of desert (1000 acres per 100 megawatts). Scraping the desert to power more energy-wasting plasma TVs, to air-condition poorly insulated houses, or to run the dryer all day long just doesn't make sense.

Or, to think about it the way solar consultants do when they meet with homeowners, first you insulate the house, install dual pane windows, and replace the pool pump with an efficient model, THEN you decide how many solar panels you need. Energy efficiency comes first, replacing the dirty power second. . . .

The entire way that Lomborg frames his argument makes it sound as though the technology for a doohickey isn't here yet, which is why we need to invest in R&D.  This is untrue.  From your article link:

But Gore did end on a positive note and in fact a place of agreement with his nemesis Lomborg. R&D is key. Al Gore believes that we do have the technology we need right now to be fossil-free by 2020. But it will take strong political will, something on the order of JFK's initiative to get a man on the moon, to get that technology to scale so that it has the positive impacts we desire.

Even then, energy efficiency is first, replacing the dirty power is second.

Please Log in to Vote.

1 out of 1 members found this useful.

Is it offensive to create a story out of a conversation?

I wasn't trying to make fun of the person himself, but suddenly got the idea to write the story above upon having (what I thought to be) a friendly and civil conversation down below.  I apologize if I have offended anyone:
 
I have some nice things to say about Republicans, but none of it will be evident until the very last line. 
 
Not to suggest that you are a Republican, [name removed by request].  But your views on climate change do not appear to be typical of most Europeans I've encountered.  While you strike me as integral and oriented on wholeness, your stance on climate change relies too heavily on a single source of questionable value, so is partial.
 
 
Well, let's see:
 
Sometimes I don’t lift a finger to stop climate change because I don’t drive a SUV (I just hate them). I drive a relatively low-carbon Toyota Corolla and I like to cycle.
 
Excellent.

There were no times in history where climate change wasn't happening.
 
True enough so far as it goes...
 
I assume you mean "climate change" (by natural variations) and not "anthropogenic climate change," which has not been happening since time immemorial as the statement might suggest. 
 
Otherwise, you are strictly correct to point out that climate has always changed changed due to natural variations (i.e., Milankovitch cycles, vegetation and oxygenation, natural greenhouse gases, oceans, precipitation, weather patterns, distance of the moon, volcanoes, etc.)
 
Current climate change has to do with human activity (but I am not sure).
 
The latest IPCC assessment, based on thousands of peer-reviewed studies, reports that human action is "very likely" to be the cause of the current global warming, meaning greater than 90%. 
 
An approach based on an Integral framework would be to adopt the highest stance in every quadrant, zone, or methodology.  For instance: in matters of climate science, it is best to consult the IPCC rather than economists or statasticians.  As most smart people do, Integral defers to the collective wisdom of leading scientists in matters of a scientific kind, leading economists in matters of an economic kind, leading presidents in matters of a presidential kind, and so on. 
 
Unless one has a specialty in the field or is trying to re-invent the wheel, it is best to trust the collective wisdom of experts who are relevant to the field.  This doesn't mean that one can be 100% certain that the experts are telling the absolute truth.  However, when a consensus is reached among a respected panel of experts that states definitively that more than a "90% probability exists" that something is very likely, it is reasonable, if not integral, to go with "very likely" and to discard the "not sure" as obsolete thinking, especially when 97% of all climate scientists agree and have discarded "not sure" as obsolete, on which the consensus, and decision of the panel of experts is based.
 
"Not sure" could be in reference to any probability between 0-99%.   While such uncertainty was once existed among climate scientists, it is no longer current.  So instead of saying, "But I am not sure," a more integral approach would say, "The current global warming is very likely caused by human activity, meaning over 90%."
 
And considering that "very likely" is not yet a 100% certainty, an environmental skeptic can agree with what the science says without having to comprimise on his or her commitment to scientific or amateur skepticism.
 
Climate change can have good and bad effects, it depends on its extent. Very strong climate change is very bad but I don’t believe it will occur.
 
Climate change can be a good or bad thing if left to natural forces and variations.  All things considered, however, an Integral perspective would have to jettison the idea that human-caused climate change can have good effects.  Of course, "good" is a subjective and relative term but has limited value when confined to partialities such as future prospects of growing grapes in Sweden or to vacationing in a more temperate spot such as Siberia's drunken forests.  Integral is not confined to partialities but it is a perception of the whole.
 
The IPCC conclusion in 2007 is that the consequences of unmitigated climate change are bad elsewhere but effect people in different ways in different parts of the world, but mostly bad.  More recently, numerous scientists are coming out to say that the consequences are "very bad."  The leading spokesperson for the IPCC confirms this as well, confirming that the IPCC had underestimated to be conservative, and warns that governments have four years left to agree on implementing policies on a global scale to be effective in time.   
 
However, if you do not believe that sudden catastrophic climate change can occur, you either have faith in humanity to stop it (bless your soul) or you think that the experts themselves are mistaken in their view.  In which case, you are making an expert judgment based on an independent conclusion of a scientific matter. Please clarify.
 
 
I am quite sure that the markets will sabotage it unless we develop efficient alternative energies.
 
 
 
Based on most climate experts, all efforts will be sabotaged unless we address the the more immediate concern of CO2 reduction. 
 
By "the markets," are you referring to free market capitalism, or to the carbon market created by cap and trade?
 
It is not possible to stop it but perhaps to mitigate it. I guess mitigation will cost less as it would just to live with it, but here I am absolutely not sure, I rely on Lomborg who is statistician at an economic school.
 
Yes, it is a safe bet that mitigation will cost less than dealing with it.
 
An Integral approach would be to include scientific opinion in addition to the Stern Review into an Integral framework, since Stern is the most recognized and most comprehensive economic study on climate change done to date.  It is far more comprehensive than the Copenhagen Consensus, and less ideologically-driven.
 
However, in light of more recent studies done on positive feedbacks and changes that are outpacing predictions made by most computer climate models, many economists consider Stern's report to now be obsolete and too conservative.  Stern's recommendation for a 1% of world GDP investment of mitigation (via cap and trade) has since been revised in 2008 to 2%. 
 
Yet in spite of the inadequacies above, compared to Stern, the Copenhagen Consensus appears to be even more so.  In all, it appears to be only a partial perspective composed only of economists who were hand-selected by Lomborg on the basis of their unfavorable opinion toward Kyoto, who get together an provide an economic forecast which is now considered obsolete by many economists.  Furthermore, it is based on scientific data that is considered obsolete by most scientists. This is not integral.
 
The Copenhagen Consensus is criticized for using economists who do not specialize in development.  In addition, it is criticized for placing climate change, the most serious concern according to most scientists and many other economists, at the bottom of the list of priorities because it considers mitigation too expensive to tackle and better spent on other projects.  According to the Stern report, a minimum of 1% investment of global GDP is necessary and the cost of 1% is preferable to the cost of 20-30% loss of global GDP (of $54 trillion) with no agreement.  Carbon tax may or may not be more effective as Lomborg (I suspect), Exxon CEO, and James Hansen contend, but it does not appear to be politically realistic to implement instead of cap and trade the more I look into it.  For Integral, we also have to consider what is realistic.
 
It is good to challenge one's position by getting many and varied perspectives.  I do it all the time.  You may be surprised to find, as I consistently find, that with respect to climate change, most experts arrive at different conclusions from those made by Lomborg and by the Copenhagen Consensus.  Certainly Integral may consider Lomborg's skepticism toward the scientific consensus and dislike of Kyoto to see what, if anything, can be included into an overall Integral Ecology, but must ultimately not be confined to these experts alone.
 
Since many economists consider the Stern Review's 1% of global GDP investment to be inadequate if not, obsolete, in light of recent scientific studies noting faster changes, the .05% of GDP, as Copenhagen Consensus recommends, is even more obsolete.  In addition, the Copenhagen Consensus bases its analysis on a previous scientific opinion that a concentration of 550 ppm ceiling is safe and that a 3.0 C temperature rise is safe.  This contradicts the IPCC's 2007 recommendation, which warns that concentrations of CO2 above 450 ppm is unsafe.  This also contradicts more recent scientific evidence, which reveal that the rate of atmospheric changes has outpaced the projected rate of change as predicted by most climate model studies. 
 
The only way to account for these faster changes is to include numerous complex feedback mechanisms in addition to increasing rises in industrial CO2 emssion, which alone cannot account for these more recent changes.  Such feedback mechanisms as ocean acidification, melting sea ice, deforestation, methane release from melting permafrost, and precipitation are all working to amplify present greenhouse gases such that anything above a 2.0-2.5 C temperature rise is thought to be sufficient to trigger a sudden and catastrophic climate change, given all the positive feedbacks now in effect.  Because of this, Hansen, et al., want to set a ceiling of 350 ppm.  An Integral standpoint would also want to consider the latest scientific information and not reject it out of hand.
 
Something that would be admirable for Lomborg to do would be to change his stance that "yeah, global warming is human-caused due to CO2 emissions, but things are not as bad as they say."  He would definitely earn my respect.  It would be interesting to see how his perspective changes in light of newer information.  He would earn the respect of many more people as well, but I'm sure that he is paid very well to be the front line skeptic and spokesperson against cap and trade.
 
The Chinese will have an important role but they are not rich, therefore we need cheap solar panels.
 
Indeed, China said that it will not adopt cap and trade unless the U.S. does whereas India has stated that it has no plans to enter an agreement.  I suspect that with increasing pressure, India would have to cave in to an international agreement to set a ceiling on its carbon emissions if everyone else joined. 
 
As for cheap solar panels, Lomborg says it will be 2050 before they are cheap enough and apparently thinks that there's merely a slow and steady linear progression to climate change as projected by the Copenhagen Consensus, who are nothing but economists.  So as wonderful as it is in theory, what we need are immediate solutions to reducing CO2 concentrations to avoid amplifications and tipping points, which the Copenhagen Conference did not address.  A link below argues, for example, that what is critically needed is a reduction in demands of fossil fuel through better efficiency of energy, not an increase of supply of alternative or renewable energy sources.  I don't quite understand that logic because I thought that renewables would reduce fossil fuel dependence but apparently many think that efficiency works more efficiently to reduce carbon emissions than increasing sources of renewables.  I still think there should be a combination of the two so I'll have to study it further. 
 
It's our responsibility as much as anyone else's.
 
Agreed.

It's not too late.
 
 
Too much certainty makes me suspicious, especially regarding group dynamics.
 
Climate science isn't about certainty; only probabilities and statistics.  I do not understand the relation of group dynamics to climate science so please clarify (must be the Asperger).  
 
We can also say that by the same token, too much certainty or willingness to agree with Lomborg can undermine a person's credibility; so this makes me suspicious. Not of your integrity or honesty, but of your ability to analyze the information critically and most comprehensively and perceive the whole integrally when it comes to climate change issues.  Especially when mainstream science is not consulted and only Lomborg is used as a primary source, who is well-known to cherry-pick scientific data to present distorted information to create false either/or propositions (such as "mitigation" vs. "R&D" or "mitigation" vs. "third world hunger").
 
I have not found a single environmental website or science blog that has anything positive to say about Lomborg, but have read that he's the darling of right-wing think-tanks opposed to regulation.  This makes me highly suspicious about his agenda.  In fact, the only non-negative and non-right-wing thing I've seen written about Bjorn was the Op-ed piece from the Washington Post that he authored himself, which was full of misleading and erroneous scientific information, such as his claim that mitigation would only result in a 0.5 C decline in average global temperature by 2100 after trillions of dollars wasted.  The only way to arrive at such a figure is to cherry-pick out of numerous different emissions projections to select the best-case scenario for "no policy action" (3.5 C rise by 2100) and the worse-case scenario for "policy action" (3.0 C rise by 2100) and subtract the difference to arrive at only a 0.5 C reduction after trillions of dollars wasted on CO2 reduction.  Does this not strike you as misleading? 
 
Especially considering that climate scientists at MIT thought that no policy would result in up to a 6.0-7.0 C temperature rise by 2100 whereas "policy action" would slow the temperature rise to 1.0-2.5 C and possibly well within the accepted range for prevention of a catastrophic climate change?  By the same token, choosing from numerous projections (see pie charts), we could also use a "worse case"/"best case" scenario to prove our point and say that a cap and trade policy will result in a 6.0 C reduction in average global temperature (compared to Copenhagen Consensus's 0.5 C reduction).
 
Ever heard of "lying with statistics"?
 
Other "myths" (not necessarily in agreement or disagreement with Lomborg's Copenhagen Consensus):
 
Source: Grist.org
 

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

[Comment Deleted]

This comment has been deleted by the author.

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

Conversating with emoticons and shadow-monsters

This is how you analyze my statement:

I wasn't trying to make fun of the person himself, but suddenly got the idea to write the story above upon having (what I thought to be) a friendly and civil conversation down below.  I apologize if I have offended anyone:

My corrections:

I wasn't trying to make fun of  Smiley Making His Competition Disappear Smileythe person himself--->cry baby have a tissuePut em up boy, but suddenly got the idea to write the story above upon having (what I thought to be an intelligent and civil conversation down   below.  I apologizeToilet Eating Emoticon if I have offended anyone ----> (cry baby have a tissue= Waaaa! Put em up boy =  I'm taking my ball and I'm going home!!)

The emoticons are cool.  I am not sure if I understood or emoted what they meant so I offered my corrections.  This is not to say that this is my current mood, but only my impressions whenever I typed the statement above.

Yes, it was a friendly and civil conversation, I really agree. And the story is funny. Still, your ideology behind is opposed to mine. Ayn Rand would perfectly fit into your story. (And notice, I am not confined to Ayn Rand, she is very partial, perhaps more than me).

The story takes the Ayn Rand orange ideology to its logical absurdity, true; but it is not fundamentally opposed to free enterprise and individual freedom (cap and trade, after all, is a free market solution that encourages individuality, innovation, and competition in trading pollution and encourages R&D at the market level.  A straight carbon tax allows governments to take full control and responsibility of reducing carbon at the government level and thus denying individual responsibility.  Either way, however, they're both a tax of some form to put a price on carbon, which is necessary in this day and age which Ayn Rand is not adequate to address.  Yet I think that cap and trade policy encourages more flexibility to allow room for individuality so is more in line with Ayn Rand's ideology than a carbon tax.  I still have to study it further to know all of the details, so I'm open to alternative plans.  Lomborg's plan, on which the story is based, was initially considered and then rejected by due scientific process before even entering the phase 2 policy discussion, but is clearly ideologically-driven). 

Insofar as climate change policy, my interest is purely pragmatic.  Agreeing with the scientific consensus is not an ideology.  I frankly don't have an ideology to promote or defend, since ideology refers strictly to political orientation.   Someone who favors climate change legislation for purely ideological reasons would merely follow the herd mentality in opposing nuclear power and favoring cap and trade because they identify with being a leftist or a Democrat.  They would take this stance whether or not these policies work in the best interest of resolving climate change, since the ultimate concern in such a person is ideological.  And remember: earlier in the conversation, I seriously considered James Hansen's suggestion, who is registered politically as an Independent and not as a Democrat.  At the time, his proposal of a straight carbon tax and nuclear power as an alternative to cap and trade seemed more reasonable to me.  Were I truly an ideologue as you maintain, my purist ideology would not permit me to consider other ideas when better ones came along.  This is where I suspect you may be stuck.

I am in favor of whatever works best to resolve climate change, whether in the form of straight carbon tax or cap and trade.  At the current time, I think cap and trade is more pragmatic and realistic.  It's certainly more realistic than a moderate carbon tax as proposed by Lomborg, which is not moderate enough to do anything with and doesn't even consider setting a ceiling on CO2 rise to encourage efficiency and carbon reduction.  His orientation toward the wonders of technology to solve climate change reveals an orange or green fascination with gadgets to magically appear to assume responsibilities that he prefers that humans not to have to deal with.  This is highly irresponsible, and goes against personal responsibility as promoted by political conservatism.

Do you notice we are at red? Not theoretically, but practically.

That was the whole point of my story.  To show how deficient magic still exerts a negative influence in orange and green, the mental-rational structure, which seek to possess space and reactivates deficient magic in the form of technology to exert its magical influence over space.  This magic becomes negative and destructive when humans no longer assume responsibilities or take control of the machines, become possessed by space and materialism, and leave responsibility to the machines. 

Or were you talking instead about this conversation as being practically red?  Please clarify.

I wrote before that Red is my shadow , that I don't want to be red and disown(ed) my red impulses. If others show red impulses, I feel offended sometimes more than adequately because I deny it in myself. (You see, a denier, but I am beginning to believe - slowly). And I am working on it, as you see.

Yet we can no more do away with red than we could with music, emotion, or human bonding without denying an essential aspect of what it means to be human.

There can be a positive form of red, as well (which I discussed briefly in my previous post comment from "Green environmental skepticism" thread.  Telepathy and and magical pars pro toto being among them (when utilized positively).  Efficient (positive) magic, according to Gebser, became deficient in early magic and  then lost its efficacy over human consciousness in late magic, and thus had to be superceded by a new irruption in consciousness, the mythical structure. 

Red impulses include fighting (negative) and joking (positive  or negative, can change suddenly ), narcissism etc.

 

I do not follow.  Are you referring to human nature in general or to this discussion?  If this discussion, I don't recall ever "fighting" with you, I don't generally get jokes because of Asperger, and I do not see any narcissism anywhere.  But I do enjoy writing political satire or humor every once in a while, which is not the same as sarcasm, cynicism, narcissism, or cracking a "joke." 

While I admit that it was somewhat irreverant, it's really a bore not to be when you are writing satire.  But I hope you didn't take it personally because I was really only writing about Lomborg's Copenhagen Consensus and how it would play out in the real world or in the magical world of Willy Wonka and the Oompa-Loompas to get to the basic "point."  Sometimes an intellectual argument can go on and on without addressing the basic point of it all and resulting in a need for more bluntness by telling it in a storybook fashion (mythic) or via emoticons (magic) ----> (cry baby have a tissue= Waaaa! Put em up boy =  I'm taking my ball and I'm going home!!).

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

[Comment Deleted]

This comment has been deleted by the author.

Please Log in to Vote.

1 out of 1 members found this useful.

Here is your opportunity to defend your position rationally

One thing is to defend an idea which I find convincing, another thing is to be stuck to this idea.

You've provided links to Bjorn Lomborg's and Cophenhagen Consensus's alternative solutions to cap and trade which you find to be convincing.  In turn, I've read and thoroughly refuted them in a logical manner but you've yet to offer any defense in response.  I therefore decided to critique these arguments in a mythical story-book fashion to get your response.  Which, if I understand it correctly, is that my story is joking so is red. This is no response, but a red herring that is logically unrelated to the truth of your claims. 

Just by pronouncing my story as "red" or going into the psychology of shadows does not make your position on climate policy any more rational or superior to amber or red (let alone, arational and Integral).  So here is your opportunity to not only agree with your position or to be convinced of it but to also defend these positions rationally:

Bjorn Lomborg's interpretation of CC: doohickey instead of mitigation

CC's plan: doohickey + mitigation + adaptation

While CC pays lip service to the concept of mitigation, both Lomborg and CC oppose cap and trade and recommend R&D yet do not offer an alternative plan for placing a ceiling or cap on industrial and agricultural pullutants in order to slow the ongoing and very rapid rise of dangerous greenhouse gases.  Because of this, neither plan is a viable solution to global warming.  Especially when Lomborg contends that it won't be until 2050 before the solar panels are cheap and efficient enough to replace CO2 emission.  

From a strictly logical and scientific standpoint, this does not appear to be rational.  Remember: Integral rests on a solid foundation of scientific rationality although it is beyond science and logic and is integral and arational.  You must therefore offer a defense that is rational.  Then you can go forward and defend them from the standpoint of Integral.

I notice that we are using "red" in somewhat different meanings. I think you mean magic like Gebser describes it. I use the scale of Wilber and Beck, where red and magenta (Bech: purple) are differtiated and red means power, jokes (= healthy red), egocentrism and narcissism, while magenta means kin spirits, magic, Disney world (healthy) and voodoo (evil).

It's fine and well to consider other aspects of red, displace some of it to magenta or purple, or try to ascribe the extreme form of narcissism to a MGM but is wholly disingenuous to do so when we ignore the basic fact that our fascination with gadgets and collective relinquishing of responsibility and power to machine (itself a word that is derivative of the word, magic) of what is innately human is not only opposed to the ethics of conservatism, but is also immersion into pre-egoic narcissism. 

So however you wanna slice or dice the structures, the predicament we face today, as was the case fifty years ago in the day of Gebser (prior to the concept of "magenta," which in Gebser is referred to simply as archaic-magic or early magic so is still magic-red), is still the reactivation of deficient magic (red) in the deficient phase of the mental (orange, green) structure for the sake of magic power (energy) over space for possession and material acquisition.  If we continue to overlook this fundamental realization of Gebser, then nothing in Spiral Dynamics or Wilber will be of any use in addressing the most serious concern that is impeding us from moving foward to address climate change.  

In a curious way, overlooking what is obvious and playing "let's the map game" of Integral theory can be perverted into a form of rationalization or denial: a way of continuing our habits of materialism as we relinquish our power and responsibility to technology and machines while being really Integral and sophisticated at it, too. And with the exception of the "map" itself, this as true for orange and as it is for much of green (and the other structures, as well--all of which are now addicted to fossil fuel and "more").  And depending on one's economic or political school of materialism (orange individuality vs. green collectivism), many at Integral tend to dismiss the issue of climate change as either a MOM or MGM, while ignoring the fact that both memes and even they are under the possession of inanimate objects and deficient voodoo magic. 

"Yet we can no more do away with red than we could with music, emotion, or human bonding without denying an essential aspect of what it means to be human."

Neither with healthy orange, healty green, healthy amber, healthy magenta and healthy infrared.

True enough, we cannot be integrated ourselves unless all of these structures are positive and effectual in us: but let us also not delude ourselves into relativizing red (whether positive or negative) via relativity theory by bringing up every other issue or structure under the sun, moon, stars, jungle-growth or cave, and think that this act alone is sufficient to activate the Integral to negate the destructive effects of red or any other structure.

Not to suggest that this was your intent, but incidentally, red, green, and orange see all things as equal and relativize everything as having equal importance or value. Green moreso than orange, perhaps; yet orange is guilty of relativity, as well.  Because of this, the mental-rational and magical structures both emphasize quantity over value or quality.  Consequently, personal responsibility, obligations and willpower are relinquished to magic or to the wonders of technology so are externalized.  And when we do so, we forfeit those powers which are innately human and in us all along to effectuate the world positively, here and now.

 

Technically speaking, when referring to egocentric using an Integral framework, it is inappropriate to refer to red as "egocentric," although I do realize that "egocentric" is a term that is used by Wilber and in developmental psychology (Maslow, et. al.) to refer to the magical pre-egoic stage on the UL quadrant.  "Egocentric" actually begins at the mental structure of orange on the UL and LL quadrants and assumes the existence of a fully individuated self called the ego or I.  "Egocentric" or "egoic" in Gebserian terms does not refer to the pre-egoic magical narcissism of early childhood on the UL quadrant but to the fully individuated adult in the mental structure of orange and green on UL and LL.  "Egocentric narcisissm" is essentially a reversion of the mental-rational structure to pre-egoic narcissism red so is referred to by Gebser as "pre-egoic," a relinquishing of the ego-self to magic power (which is irresponsible and blind: magic is attuned to hearing so is acoustic, but blind). 

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

[Comment Deleted]

This comment has been deleted by the author.

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

I don't think you are dumb, but you cannot seem to defend your position.

I'm too lazy, ask Al Gore why he agress that R&D is key

Too lazy, or too dumb??

I don't think you are dumb, but you cannot seem to defend your position. 

Appeal to authority is a fallacy in logic, btw. 

Please Log in to Vote.

1 out of 1 members found this useful.

[Comment Deleted]

This comment has been deleted by the author.

Please Log in to Vote.

0 out of 0 members found this useful.

You still haven't defended your position rationally.

I'm tired of responding to blank posts.

I'll respond to the above in a new thread to see if this "bug" has been fixed by the IL staff.